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IR 5104

Issues in Turkish Foreign Policy

Rather than march through Turkish foreign policy chronologically, this graduate seminar hands you the Foreign Policy Analysis toolkit, rational choice, bureaucratic politics, leadership and decision-making models, and asks you to turn it on Turkey's actual diplomatic conduct, weighing failures and contradictions as seriously as the achievements. Expect heavy weekly readings from Hudson, Allison, Rosenau and the Özdamar literature, a steady stream of homework, a presentation, and two projects that push you toward original empirical work on a TFP case. It assumes you already know the historical narrative, so the payoff is learning to explain *why* Ankara decided what it did, which is the foundation for any serious thesis or policy work in the field.

Kredi3ECTS5FakülteFaculty of Economics, Administrative, and Social SciencesBölümInternational RelationsKoordinatörCrystal Marie WhetstoneMüfredatY4 Bahar

→ STARS müfredatı (resmi syllabus)

Haftalık müfredat 14 hafta

Hafta 114–20 Eyl
Giriş ve Foreign Policy Analysis
Introduction September 23 and 27 1 Foreign Policy Analysis September 30, October 4 week Required readings: Hudson, Valerie and Benjamin S. Day. 2020. Foreign Policy Analysis. 3rd Edition. Rowman and Littlefield. Pp. 1-188
Foreign Policy AnalysisValerie HudsonBenjamin S. Daysayfa 1-188
Hafta 221–27 Eyl
Foreign Policy Analysis: Hudson ve Day okuması
2 Foreign Policy Analysis October 11 week Required readings: Hudson, Valerie and Benjamin S. Day. 2020. Foreign Policy Analysis. 3rd Edition. Rowman and Littlefield. Pp. 1-188
Foreign Policy AnalysisValerie HudsonBenjamin S. Day
Hafta 328 Eyl – 4 Eki
Karşılaştırmalı dış politikanın erken çalışmaları
3 Earlier Works October 18 week Required readings: Rosenau. 1968. “Comparative Foreign Policy: Fad, Fantasy, or Field?” International Studies Quarterly. Vol. 12. pp. 296-329 Rosenau. 1984. “A Pre-Theory Revisited: World Politics in an Era of Cascading Interdependence.” International Studies Quarterly Vol. 28: pp. 245-305. Carolyn C. James and Özgür Özdamar. “Modeling Foreign Policy and Ethnic Conflict: Turkey's Policies towards Syria”, Foreign Policy Analysis 5, Issue 1, (2009): 475-494. Recommended Readings: McGowan, Patrick J., and Howard B. Shapiro. (1973) The Comparative Study of Foreign Policy: A Survey of Scientific Findings. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage. (Introduction Ch., Ch.2) Snyder et al. 2002. Foreign Policy Decision-Making. 1-152.
Rosenaucomparative foreign policypre-theoryforeign policy decision-making
Hafta 45–11 Eki
Dış politikada rational choice yaklaşımları
4 Rational Choice Perspectives October 24 Week Required readings: Allison, Graham T. 1969. “Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis.” American Political Science Review. 63: 689-718. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. 2010. “Foreign Policy Analysis and Rational Choice Models.” In (Ed.) Robert Denemark. ISA Compendium . Hermann and Hermann. 1989. “Who Makes Foreign Policy Decisions and How.” International Studies Quarterly. 33: 361-387. Zeynep Taydaş and Özgür Özdamar, “A Divided Government, an Ideological Parliament, and an Insecure Leader: Turkey’s Indecision about Joining the Iraq War.” Social Science Quarterly, Vol. 94, Issue 1 p. 217-241, March 2013. Morrow, James. 1997. “A Rational Choice Approach to International Conflict” in Decisionmaking on War and Peace. Recommended readings: Zagare. 2004. “Reconciling Rationality with Deterrence.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 16: 107-141. Stein and Welch. 1997. “Rational and Psychological Approaches to the Study of International Conflict” in Decisionmaking on War and Peace. Quackenbush, Stephen. 2004. “The Rationality of Rational Choice Theory.” International Interactions. 30: 87-107.
rational choiceAllisonCuban Missile Crisisforeign policy analysis
Hafta 512–18 Eki
Oyun kuramı ve siyaset tahmini okumaları
Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. 2002. “The End of Cold War: Predicting an Emergent Property” in Predicting Politics. pp. 78-97. Özdamar, Özgür. “Oyun Kuramının Uluslararası İlişkiler Yazınına Katkıları,” Uluslararası İlişkiler, 4, Issue 15 (2007): 33-66. Özdamar, Özgür. 2019. “An Application of Expected Utility Modeling and Game Theory in IR: Assessment of International Bargaining on Iran’s Nuclear Program”. All Azimuth: A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace. Volume 8, No: 2, pp. 205-230. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce. 2002. “Tools for Predicting Politics” in Predicting Politics. pp. 50-77 Bueno de Mesquita et al. 2002. “Political Institutions, Policy Choice and the Survival of Leaders.” British Journal of Political Science. 32: 559-590. Bennett and Stam. 2006. “Predicting the Length of the 2003 Iraq War.” Foreign Policy Analysis. 2: 101-116. Özdamar, Özgür. “Dış Politika Karar Alımı Sürecinde Lider Merkezli Yaklaşım: Akılcı Tercih Kuramı ve Türkiye'Nin Irak Savaşına Katılmama Kararı” Dış Politika Teorileri Bağlamında Türk Dış Politikasının Analizi. Ed.
game theoryexpected utility modelBueno de MesquitaÖzdamar
Hafta 619–25 Eki
Liderlikte operational code analysis
Operational Code Analysis Nov 1 Week Required readings: George, Alexander L. 1969. “The Operational Code: A Neglected Approach to the Study of Political Leaders and Decision Making.” International Studies Quarterly. 23: 190-222. Walker, Stephen G., Mark Schafer, and Michael Young. 1998. “Systematic Procedures for Operational Code Analysis.” International Studies Quarterly. 42: 175-190. Özgür Özdamar. “Leadership Analysis at a ‘Great Distance’: Using Operational Code Construct to Analyze Islamist Leaders.” Global Society. Volume 31, Issue 2, 2017. Özdamar, Özgür and Sercan Canbolat. “Understanding New Middle Eastern Leadership: An Operational Code Approach,” With Sercan Canbolat, Political Research Quarterly. Vol 71, No 1, pp. 19-31. Özdamar, Özgür and Erdem Ceydilek. 2019. “European populist radical right leaders’ foreign policy beliefs: An operational code analysis”, with Erdem Ceydilek, European Journal of International Relations. Article first published online: May 30, 2019.
operational code analysisGeorgeWalkerliderlik analizi
Hafta 726 Eki – 1 Kas
Ulusal imajlar ve national role conception'lar
Ideas, National Images and Role Conceptions Nov 8 Week Required readings: Holsti, K. J. 1970 National Role Conceptions in the Study of Foreign Policy. International Studies Quarterly 14(3): 233-309 Thies, C. 2010. “Role Theory and Foreign Policy.” ISA Compendium Project. Ed: Robert E. Denmark. Blackwell Publishing. Akbaba, Yasemin and Özgür Özdamar. 2019. Role Theory in the MENA. Routledge Press.
national role conceptionsrole theoryK. J. HolstiAkbaba ve Özdamar
Hafta 82–8 Kas
Kamuoyu ve dış politika ilişkisi
Required readings: Holsti, Ole. 1992. “Public Opinion and Foreign Policy: Challenges of the Almond Lippmann Consensus.” International Studies Quarterly. 36: 439-466. Jentleson, Bruce W. 1992. “The Pretty Prudent Public: Post Post-Vietnam American Opinion on the Use of Military Force.” International Studies Quarterly 36: 49-73. Özdamar, Özgür and Zeynep Taydaş. “Foreign Policy, Public Opinion and the Iraq War: The Turkish Case”, International Public Opinion and the Iraq War, eds. Richard Sobel, Bethany Barratt and Peter Furia. Forthcoming, 2012.
public opinionAlmond-Lippmann ConsensusOle HolstiIraq War
Hafta 99–15 Kas
Prospect theory ve poliheuristic karar verme
Levy, Jack S. 1997. “Prospect Theory, Rational Choice, and International Relations.” International Studies Quarterly. 41: 87-112. Mintz, Alex. 2003. Integrating Cognitive and Rational Theories of Foreign Policy Decision Making. Ch. 1, 7, and 9. Özdamar, Özgür and Okhan Erciyas. 2019. "Turkey and Cyprus: A Poliheuristic Analysis of Decisions During the Crises of 1964, 1967 and 1974". Foreign Policy Analysis. Article first published online: 13 August 2019.
prospect theoryrational choicepoliheuristic foreign policy decision makingTurkey and Cyprus krizleri (1964, 1967, 1974)
Hafta 1016–22 Kas
Dış politikada başkanlık karar alma
Required readings: George, Alexander L. 1980. Presidential Decisionmaking in Foreign Policy. Ch. 1-6. Hermann and Preston. 1994. “Presidents, Advisors and Foreign Policy.” Political Psychology. 15: 75-96. Mitchell, David. 2005. “Centralizing Advisory Systems.” Foreign Policy Analysis. 2: 181-206. Recommended readings: Kaarbo and Beasley. 2008. “Taking it to the Extreme.” Foreign Policy Analysis. 4: 67 Bak and Palmer. 2010. “Testing the Biden Hypothesis.” Foreign Policy Analysis. 6: 257-274.
Alexander L. Georgeadvisory systemsforeign policyBölüm 1-6
Hafta 1123–29 Kas
TFP/FPA çalışmalarının bütünleşmesi ve geleceği
10 Integration and Future of TFP/FPA Studies: How to explain TFP? December 6 Required readings: Hudson, Valerie and Benjamin S. Day. 2020. Foreign Policy Analysis. 3rd Edition. Rowman and Littlefield. Pp. 189-230
TFPFPAHudson ve Day 2020Foreign Policy Analysis
Hafta 1230 Kas – 6 Ara
TFP/FPA çalışmalarının bütünleşmesi ve geleceği
10 Integration and Future of TFP/FPA Studies: How to explain TFP? December 6 Required readings: Hudson, Valerie and Benjamin S. Day. 2020. Foreign Policy Analysis. 3rd Edition. Rowman and Littlefield. Pp. 189-230
TFPFPAHudson ve Day 2020Foreign Policy Analysis
Hafta 137–13 Ara
Paper/proje için danışma saatleri
Contact hours with instructor about your paper/Project
contact hourspaperproject
Hafta 1414–20 Ara
Projelerin sınıfta sunumu
Presentation of projects.
projesunum

Değerlendirme 110% · 5 adım

20%
20%
50%
10%
10%
In-class participation Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK 20%
Project Paper First phase and presentation, Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper 70%
Presentations Course Hours and Presentatıons 10%
Homework homeowrk 10%
en büyük tek kalem %50 · 16 dönem ortalaması 3.51 (215 öğrenci) nasıl hesaplanıyor

Bu dersi alınca · 5 öğrenme çıktısı

Bilkent'in resmî syllabus'ünden. Sağdaki etiket o çıktının hangi değerlendirmeyle ölçüldüğünü söylüyor.

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Geçmiş GPA dağılımı 16 dönem · ort. 3.51

DönemCourse CPA
2024-2025 Fall 3.73 1 sec · 12 öğr
2023-2024 Fall 3.21 1 sec · 18 öğr
2022-2023 Fall 3.20 1 sec · 12 öğr
2021-2022 Fall 3.71 1 sec · 12 öğr
2020-2021 Fall 3.41 1 sec · 21 öğr
2019-2020 Fall 3.60 1 sec · 20 öğr
2018-2019 Fall 3.69 1 sec · 26 öğr
2017-2018 Fall 3.68 1 sec · 13 öğr
2016-2017 Fall 3.08 1 sec · 8 öğr
2015-2016 Spring 3.51 1 sec · 8 öğr

Aggregate course GPA · Bilkent STARS'tan public data. Hoca-bazlı per-section detayı için STARS evaluation report →. Öğrenci anket cevapları KVKK kapsamında defter'de tutulmaz. Tüm derslerin ortalamaları →

2026-2027 Güz için şubesi henüz görünmüyor. Kayıt sistemi bu dersi bu dönem listelemiyor, ama şube girişi sürüyor: ders kaydı 15 Eylül, bölümler o güne kadar şube ekleyebiliyor. Son 4 güz döneminin 3 tanesinde açılmış, yani bu dönem de açılması beklenir. Son açıldığı dönemde (2024-2025 güz) 1 şube vardı. Ön kayıt müfredat üzerinden yapılıyor, açılan şube listesi üzerinden değil; o yüzden ön kayıtta seçebildiğin bir dersin şubesi burada henüz görünmeyebilir. Kesin sonuç ders kaydında belli oluyor. kayıt tarihleri → · açık dersler

⚠️ FZ engelleyen şartlar

Course Learning Outcomes: Course Learning Outcome Assessment O1. Analyse FPA theories and evaluate its reflections in Turkish foreign policy. Weekly reading, question preparation and participation INDIVIDUAL GROUP WORK Paper First phase and presentation Project PaperFinal Draft of Research Paper O2. Have command of theories of FPA, have the ability to convert these theories into a Turkish foreign policy analysis, and the knowledge to prepare works compatible with academic rules. Weekly reading,

Hocalar 0 bu dönem · 4 geçmiş

Geçmişte ders veren (4 kişi)
İbrahim Özgür Özdamar, Berk Esen, Mustafa Kibaroğlu, Ali L. Karaosmanoğlu

Bu ders 1 bölümün müfredatında zorunlu.

Uluslararası İlişkiler4. sınıf Bahar

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