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IE 325

Stochastic Models

IE 325 is where probability stops being about coin flips and starts being a language for modeling systems that evolve randomly over time — machines that fail, queues that build up, inventories that drain. You'll spend the semester setting up Markov chains and Poisson processes for concrete scenarios, then computing long-run probabilities, expected costs, and steady-state behavior through homeworks, quizzes, and two midterms. It's the bridge between your earlier probability course and the operations-research electives (queueing, simulation, supply chain) that assume you can already think in transition matrices and rate diagrams.

Credit3ECTS5FacultyFaculty of EngineeringBölümIndustrial EngineeringPreMATH 250MüfredatY3 Güz

Önerilen kaynaklar 1 kitap

📕
Zorunlu
An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling
Mark Pinsky and Samuel Karlin
2010/4th Edition · Academic Press

Haftalık müfredat 14 hafta

Hafta 1
Sample space, probability, random variables, indicator r.v.'s, expectations, discrete distributions
Hafta 2
Conditional distributions and expectations, random sums
Hafta 3
Markov chains, Markov property, n-step transition probabilities
Hafta 4
Markov chains: modelling examples
Hafta 5
First step analysis with examples
Hafta 6
Classification of the sates, long-run behavior of Markov chains, limiting probabilities
Hafta 7
Long-run behavior of Markov chains (cont'd)
Hafta 8
Poisson processes and related distributions
Hafta 9
Superposition and decomposition theorems
Hafta 10
Examples with Poisson processes, non-homogeneous Poisson processes
Hafta 11
Continuous-time Markov chains, transition rates and probabilities, sojourn times
Hafta 12
Continuous time Markov chains : Limiting probabilities
Hafta 13
Birth and death processes, introduction to queueing models
Hafta 14
Basic queueing models

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Geçmiş GPA dağılımı 40 dönem · ort. 2.14

DönemCourse CPA
2025-2026 Fall 2.38 3 sec · 180 öğr
2024-2025 Fall 2.33 2 sec · 140 öğr
2024-2025 Spring 2.46 2 sec · 98 öğr
2023-2024 Fall 2.29 3 sec · 145 öğr
2023-2024 Spring 2.15 1 sec · 70 öğr
2022-2023 Fall 2.45 2 sec · 116 öğr
2022-2023 Spring 2.13 2 sec · 79 öğr
2021-2022 Fall 2.16 3 sec · 140 öğr
2021-2022 Spring 2.17 2 sec · 74 öğr
2020-2021 Fall 2.37 3 sec · 157 öğr

Aggregate course GPA — Bilkent STARS'tan public data. Hoca-bazlı per-section detayı için STARS evaluation report →. Öğrenci anket cevapları KVKK kapsamında defter'de tutulmaz.

⚠️ FZ engelleyen şartlar

Total score out of 60 (excluding the final) should be at least 20.

Hocalar 1 bu dönem · 10 geçmiş

Bu dönem (2025-2026 Spring) · 2 section
Ülkü Gürler ×2
Geçmişte ders veren (10 kişi)
Özlem Çavuş İyigün, Firdevs Ulus, Çağın Ararat, Savaş Dayanık, Kağan Gökbayrak, Nesim Kohen Erkip, Mehmet Murat Fadıloğlu, Çetin Barbaros Tansel, Mahmut Parlar, Osman Alp